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Bank for International Settlements: The biggest threat to global stability is the debt carnival of governments. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) said that the biggest threat to world economic stability is the government's borrowing habits, and the recent changes in market sentiment should be vigilant. Claudio Borio, a senior official of BIS, said in his quarterly report that priority should be given to repairing public finances before the panic of bond investors spreads. "The global financial outlook is still very worrying," said the retiring head of the BIS monetary and economic department. "The trajectory of government debt poses the most serious threat to macroeconomic and financial stability."The listing in Hong Kong heats up. Many listed companies have started the "A+H" mode, and the policy warm wind is blowing frequently. More and more A-share companies are planning to issue H shares and start the "A+H" dual-capital operation platform mode. According to incomplete statistics, at least seven A-share companies have disclosed plans to issue H-shares this year. Since December alone, Hengrui Pharma, Junsheng Electronics and other listed companies have announced plans to go public in Hong Kong. Previously, Midea Group, SF Holdings and other leading A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Zhang Shujian, head and managing director of the capital market department of Futeng Capital, believes that the "A+H" model increases the flexibility of listing financing by building a platform for listing in two places, and at the same time introduces international long-term investors, which is conducive to optimizing the shareholder structure. In addition, since the beginning of this year, the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Exchange have issued relevant policies to support A-share companies to go public in Hong Kong, which has driven this round of "A+H" craze. (SSE)The EU plans to issue up to 90 billion euros of long-term bonds in the first half of 2025.

EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.

White House: We hope that Austin Otis, an American kidnapped in Syria, is still alive. We are talking with the Turkish side and other parties to get more information.The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)